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2024-12-13 16:31:20

Second, judging from the technical analysis, the short-term A-share market has peaked, that is to say, 3494 points yesterday was the recent high point.The simplest and most direct reason for doing this is to spread out the high-priced chips at a high level. In fact, the main force has been doing this all the time. Since 924, the main capital of A shares has flowed out of the market by more than 2 trillion yuan. Who has taken these chips? According to relevant data, over 10 million new retail investors have entered the market during this period. Judging from the current trading volume, although the number of retail investors has decreased, there are still retail investors' funds coming into the market. How many retail investors have taken over yesterday's trading volume?My prediction yesterday was wrong: there will be a compensatory decline trend in the A-share market tomorrow, and we can observe the support level around 3380 points. If this position is supported, the market will be a slow decline trend, and if it is not, it will be a rapid decline trend.


This chart reflects the three high positions of A-shares since they peaked on October 8th, November 8th and December 10th. Combined with the volume pile shown in Figure 1, it is clear at a glance that the real big market is that the volume pile is bigger than one, but now it is smaller than one, which fully shows that the market after October 8th is a trend of creating long traps and attracting more, and now it has been twice.Today, Hong Kong stocks continued to dive, A50 futures index fell resistively, and the A-share market rose slightly. After observation, we found that the big main force became the main force to support the market today, which shows that it is not willing to fall on the market now and can't manage the external market. It can only maintain the spot market of A-shares, that is to say, it has to support the market.Today's A-shares fluctuated within a narrow range, and the main force took measures to stabilize the market and ease the anxiety caused by yesterday's high opening and low going. Even Hong Kong stocks, one of the three sisters, were too busy to take care of, and the market closed again, which drama will A-shares sing tomorrow? Let me talk about a few personal views.


It can be predicted that the A-share market outlook will be a downward trend. Judging from the current heat of speculation on these theme stocks, another one will be made, but the rising time and space will be far less than the first three. Look at the picture below:Figure iiThis chart reflects the three high positions of A-shares since they peaked on October 8th, November 8th and December 10th. Combined with the volume pile shown in Figure 1, it is clear at a glance that the real big market is that the volume pile is bigger than one, but now it is smaller than one, which fully shows that the market after October 8th is a trend of creating long traps and attracting more, and now it has been twice.

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